"It has always been entertaining, if not actually 'fun' to try to predict the upcoming bj-league disasters. The fact that Oita is back again and again after proven failures means this season will be no different. At some point it seems almost certain that someone will fail and more bailout help will be needed. At least Miyazaki has mercifully gone away.
"But what are the chances the NBL gets away unscathed? Three months before their season openers and Kumamoto, Daytrick Tsukuba, and Hokkaido have websites that look like the team is barely there. Although surely things are going on behind the scenes. The new model is to head into summer without a coach or players, have some tryouts, and then by September 28 have a competitive team on the court that can draw fans and sell tickets?
"I'm sure the good teams in both the NBL and bj-league will be fine. But as for which team or which league will have the first fatality, hard to say.... What are the odds that all 33 (12 NBL, 21 bj-league) teams survive until the end of the season without players somewhere leaving because they haven't been paid, or league's stepping in to pay the bills, or a team folding in mid-season?"